April 20, 2011
Unemployment may linger

The OECD released a report today (summarized here in the Wall Street Journal) that expressed concern with the risk that unemployment rates may linger at their current highs as OECD member economies attempt to recover.

Many, if not most, OECD member countries’ unemployment rates have lifted by at least 2% since the economic crisis. The UK, Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal, and the US have raised by 5% or more, and Spain’s unemployment has increased by a remarkable 12%.

Another concern is that this list, besides the US and the UK so far, includes the debt crisis or near-debt crisis countries. Monday’s report from Standard and Poor that predicted negative outcomes for the US debt rating make this even more worrisome a statistic.

April 19, 2011
OECD Video Competition Winners have been Announced!

April 18, 2011
Woergoetter Follow-Up

In the wake of our February talk with Mr. Andreas Woergoetter (head of OECD Economics Division), this article from Bloomberg discusses the OECD’s arguments for developing tighter fiscal policies in Estonia. The article explains that Estonia, who adopted the Euro just this past January, should adopt spending ceilings and a regulatory mechanism to help moderate the effects of economic cycles. In the most recent economic crisis, Estonia faced a loss of nearly 20 percent of its GDP, crushing its ability to generate economic growth. This kind of economic vulnerability is precisely why the OECD is suggesting that more stringent and specific measures be taken to avoid a similar catastrophe in the future.

Estonia’s central government spending doubled from 2004 to 2008 as the country went through a property-driven boom. While there is little doubt that the pro-cyclical policies in Estonia aggravated the downturn, the economic production downturn makes it difficult for a strong comeback.

Interestingly, Estonia still had the best public finances among the 17 members of the currency bloc last year, according to the European Commission. The country had a 2010 surplus of 0.1 percent of GDP and public debt of 6.6 percent, the national statistics office said last month.

As Mr. Woergoetter explained, these kinds of inconsistencies (good public finances but a huge financial crash) are what makes Estonia such an interesting case study for economic analysis. I thought it was exciting that this article was posted in such a major economic publication, on precisely the issue we discussed in our talk with Mr. Woergoetter. I’ll certainly keep an eye out for news about Estonia and keep you posted.

April 14, 2011
Blame Canada?

While most Americans view Canada as a fairly safe and reputable country, the latest OECD report notes that Canadian firms might display more indicators of corruption than one would normally assume. I found this article, referencing accounting and auditing firm Ernst & Young’s concern that Canadian firms might be exposed to increased fraud investigation as a result of the OECD report.

While Canada remains relatively low in corruption, the OECD cites expectations of better fraud surveillance in the upcoming years. One of their greatest concerns is that Canada has had just one prosecution in the 10 years since its anti-corruptions laws were passed. Among other recommendations, the OECD proposes that Canada urgently dedicate more resources to prosecute over 20 active fraud investigations.

While it is unsure what effect such recommendations might have on business in Canada, corruption in developed economies is certainly being watched more closely in the wake of the 2009 financial crisis.

April 14, 2011
Who works the longest?

This article summarizes the OECD’s publication Society at a Glance, released on Tuesday. Society at a Glance looks at social trends and policy developments in OECD countries. Using indicators taken from the larger OECD databases and other sources, it demonstrates how societies are changing over time and compared with other countries.

This article specifically examines a chapter that looks at unpaid work (as well as paid), such as cooking, cleaning, caring, and shopping in the OECD member countries as well as in China, India, and South Africa.

According to this publication, Mexican workers put in the most hours, with 10 hours (combined paid and unpaid) of work, 3 of which are work around the house. Belgium had the least number of hours, at 7. The OECD member country average was 8 hours, where Americans clocked 8.5 hours per day. South Korea showed the least number of unpaid hours, at 1 hour and 19 minutes on average.

April 12, 2011
this is a fun one

This is a fun one! I very rarely come across a secondary source talking about the OECD, its history, and its role in global politics. Here, the Telegraph is trying to make my job easier. Love it! Definitely check out this link.

April 5, 2011
UAE and OECD

This article discusses recent UAE efforts to build a stronger relationship with the OECD, hoping to decrease their dependence on oil revenues and diversify their international trading prospects.

April 5, 2011
Spending too much or taxing to little?

To continue our discussion on tax, this article from The Economist attempts to break down the changes in OECD member country deficits by discussing additional spending and lowering taxes in the wake of the Great Recession.

Countries like Hungary have been spending less and taxing more, where as the United States has been spending more and taxing less.

How better to balance the budget?

“When it comes to deficit-cutting, economists generally prefer spending cuts to tax increases on both practical (such an approach has worked better in the past) and ideological grounds.”

March 31, 2011
Tax Policy: Appropriating the Surplus

As a follow up to the recent article about tax distribution in OECD articles, I found this blog entry (or, in fact, a series of blog entries) from the Economist that again approaches the idea about the appropriateness and progressiveness of OECD member countries’ tax systems.

Whereas the previous article considers the US tax system the most progressive of any OECD member country, this article displays the more traditional arguments against the US tax system - low corporate tax and low overall tax, even as compared to other OECD member countries.

One idea re-emerges from this article that I consider important to think about and discuss:

First, there is a difference between the percentage of tax imposed on a country’s households and businesses, the numerical value of those taxes collected, and the percentage of total GDP taxed within a country’s system. In almost every regard, the US falls below its OECD companions, indicating that the US might consider raising taxes in order to maintain the public services it requires and to reduce its federal deficit. However, as the article points out, there are certainly economic downsides to increased taxes, particularly on corporations. Corporations can pass of the taxes by raising prices, hiring less people, or by moving to a more tax-friendly environment.

Where would you find the balance between the lowest tax rate among similarly developed countries and the ability to maintain a business-friendly environment for domestic and foreign corporations? Which one, if either, of these possibilities is most important? And, perhaps most provocatively, should the US raise taxes? Now? Later? Never? Let’s open up the floor- let me know what you think!

March 23, 2011
Looking at Japan’s recovery

Japan’s recent earthquake, an event now referred to as “3/11”, has caused a lot of speculation among investors. Where should investors place their money in light of the crisis? Will Japan be able to bounce back? How can this crisis be turned into an opportunity for good policy?

The answers to these questions are difficult to predict, as they depend on so many variables in the upcoming months. However, the policies and actions that could fill a void like Japan’s current crisis are the type of issues that OECD economists try to tackle.

This article from The Economist was a particularly helpful outline of the current situation in Japan (particularly for business movement in japan), and how we can think about Japan’s upcoming recovery. Let me know what you think - what kinds of policies could Japan use to improve their situation in the near and medium terms? How could the recovery from this disaster be used for the future improvement of living conditions for Japan’s people?